第1227章 老兵不死(2 / 2)
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蔚澜赞叹一声:“一下子就想出这么多好主意,我觉得你这个公益项目一定能够真正做起来。”
说完,蔚澜又问李牧:“你还没说,你准备给确认身份的老兵什么样的援助?”
李牧回想了一下自己上辈子了解过的相关资料,似乎在2013年的时候有权威机构做出过统计,那个时候全国幸存的老兵数量应该是两万人左右,那么现在距离2013年还有十年,老兵数量应该在3-4万人之间。
这3-4万人中,并不是所有人都需要救助,以李牧曾经了解过得情况,人民解放军老兵中,没出过政治错误、没有成分问题的基本上都被国家照顾的很好,另外一部分受到早些年各种运动迫害的老兵现在可能会比较困难,除此之外,还有一些留在大陆的国军老兵,可能没有机会享受到和解放军老兵一样的待遇。
不过用现代的眼光去看这些老兵,无论出身哪个部队,他们都曾经在抗日战争中为这个民族流过血,这样的老兵只要现在还在世、只要他有困难,就必须要给予帮助。
这么看下来,估计需要救助的人有差不多两万人左右。
李牧不知道目前有没有低保政策,也不知道低保标准,于是便问蔚澜:“你知不知道现在的农民平均年收入是多少?”
蔚澜想了想,道:“之前看过报道,应该是两千多一点吧,城镇五千多一点。”
李牧微微点头,若有所思的说道:“假设我们要长期救助的老兵有两万人,每人都按照农村人均年收入进行补贴,那么每年就需要大概四五千万,拿一个亿出来的话,能够支撑两年。”
蔚澜说:“一年四五千万的话,这个开销确实很大,而且就目前来看,老兵的存世数量是逐渐减少,但整个援助周期从现在算也会在二十年左右,所以你一定要有节制,做慈善要给自己留一定的空间,切忌大包大揽,如果你大包大揽,不只是这个项目你要扛到底,将来社会如果有其他慈善需求,民众恐怕也会对你进行道德绑架、让你扛到底,到时候你身上的担子就会越来越重。”
说着,蔚澜盘腿坐在李牧面前,掰着手指头算道:“我先给你算算你这个项目大概需要多少钱。你看,我们先把几个数据大概确定一下,暂时把周期定为二十年,假设第一年投入5000万,最后一年投A入500万,中间这18年都在匀速下降,那么就是头尾相加等于5500万,5500万乘以10,粗略的算,这个项目总共需要五亿五千万左右的资金。”
李牧错愕的看着一脸认真的蔚澜,问她:“你是怎么算出来的,我好像没听明白……”
蔚澜微微一笑,说:“做工程的人都会点成本核算,所以数学都还算不错。我考你一个问题,你知不知道1加2加3,一直加到100等于多少?”
李牧摇摇头:“给我个计算器,或者给我台电脑,我跑个代码,或者拉个Excel再做个求和就能算出来了,心算可算不出来。”
蔚澜笑道:“你不要总是做什么都用程序员的思维嘛,你看,从1一直加到100,一共是100个数,而且它们的递增规律是统一的,都是加1、加1、加1,所以我们把收尾相加,1+100等于101,2+99也等于101,3+97还等于101,一直到50+51依旧等于101,那么这里面一共是多少个这样的头尾相加等于101的组合呢?”
李牧眼前一亮,脱口道:“50组!我知道了,所以从1加到100,最终结果是101乘以50,也就是5050,对吗?”
蔚澜俯身在李牧脸上亲了一口,称赞道:“真聪明!”
李牧笑着说:“聪明的人是你不是我!你这种办法计算实在是太科学了!请收下我的膝盖!”